East Kilbride 5-0 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.33
Over 2.5
46%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.47
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.67
6+ Goals
9%
7.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.47 — our 27% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-2.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
39%
+15.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
61%
-15.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Kilbride EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
2.75/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.19
+45% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 4.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Kilbride swept aside Forfar Athletic 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had East Kilbride as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?

East Kilbride 5-0 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Kilbride vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a East Kilbride win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split East Kilbride 55%, draw 22%, Forfar Athletic 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (East Kilbride) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (East Kilbride) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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