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Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arsenal (K) v Liverpool (K) — Team-Based Signals
Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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1-0
HT 1-0
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Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
1-5
HT 0-2
Arsenal (K)
İNKPL
5-0
HT 4-0
Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
3-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
Arsenal (K) 2-1 Liverpool (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) squeezed past Liverpool (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Arsenal (K) had 58% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 42%, shots finished 19-3, expected goals 2.43 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Arsenal (K) and 0.17 for Liverpool (K).
What was the final score of Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Arsenal (K) 2-1 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arsenal (K) vs Liverpool (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Arsenal (K) 79%, draw 13%, Liverpool (K) 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.