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Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Liverpool (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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1-0
HT 1-0
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Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
1-5
HT 0-2
Arsenal (K)
İNKPL
5-0
HT 4-0
Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
3-0
HT 0-0
Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
0-3
HT 0-2
Arsenal (K)
İNKPL
4-4
HT 1-3
Liverpool (K)
İNKPL
Liverpool (K) 0-1 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) edged past Liverpool (K) 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Liverpool (K) had 35% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 65%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.23 to 2.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool (K) and 3.50 for Arsenal (K).
What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Liverpool (K) 0-1 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 20%, draw 27%, Arsenal (K) 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.