Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Liverpool (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Liverpool (K) 0-1 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal (K) found just enough to beat Liverpool (K) 1-0 on the road.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (58%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Liverpool (K) had 35% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 65%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.23 to 2.19 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Arsenal (K)'s control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal (K) led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool (K) and 3.50 for Arsenal (K).
Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Result & Final Score
Liverpool (K) 0 - 1 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Liverpool (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Arsenal (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 12%, draw 17%, Arsenal (K) 71%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.