Crystal Palace (K) 0-1 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.95
Draw
35%
5.15
Away
48%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
10%
+7.2pp
35%
Draw
16%
+18.4pp
48%
Away Win
74%
-25.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.3pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.35/2.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.63
-100% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +125%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 82%
7.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.2
6.0 Crosses 20.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace (K)
0-1
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.16 xG 2.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
164 Passes 278
56% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) edged past Crystal Palace (K) 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crystal Palace (K) had 43% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 57%, shots finished 4-14, expected goals 0.16 to 2.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Manchester United (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Crystal Palace (K) 0-1 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace (K) 17%, draw 35%, Manchester United (K) 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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