Alcorcon 1-1 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.57
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.37/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.99
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Eldense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
268 Passes 290
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.04.2024 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
11.09.2023 Eldense Eldense 2-2 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Eldense
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Eldense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Alcorcon had 52% of the ball to Eldense's 48%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alcorcon and 1.00 for Eldense.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Eldense?

Alcorcon 1-1 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 40%, draw 30%, Eldense 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcorcon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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