Alcorcon 0-0 Eldense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.12
2-3 Goals
34%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
5.99
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
14%
4.6
X/2
13%
6.07
X/X
16%
3.44
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
5.13
2/X
8%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Eldense EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.09/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.98
-26% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.4 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Eldense
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.53 xG 1.22
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
225 Passes 383
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
11.09.2023 Eldense Eldense 2-2 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
0-0
AWAY Eldense
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
311 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Eldense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Eldense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alcorcon had 57% of the ball to Eldense's 43%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Eldense?

Alcorcon 0-0 Eldense in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Eldense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 38%, draw 31%, Eldense 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alcorcon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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