Valladolid 1-0 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.48
Over 2.5
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.4
No
65%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.75
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.0
X/1
17%
3.6
X/2
5%
10.7
X/X
12%
3.74
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
8%
10.1
2/X
9%
18.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
55%
-4.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.1pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
38%
-2.5pp
65%
BTTS No
62%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valladolid EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 20%
+6% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.37/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.25
+11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.2 Crosses 14.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valladolid
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Huesca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 0.91
55% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2023 Huesca Huesca 0-1 HT 0-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
29.05.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 3-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
03.12.2021 Huesca Huesca 3-2 HT 2-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
29.01.2021 Valladolid Valladolid 1-3 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS1
18.10.2020 Huesca Huesca 2-2 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
01.02.2019 Huesca Huesca 4-0 HT 1-0 Valladolid Valladolid İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valladolid
1-0
AWAY Huesca
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
277 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Valladolid vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid edged past Huesca 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valladolid as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valladolid had 49% of the ball to Huesca's 51%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Valladolid and 2.00 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Valladolid vs Huesca?

Valladolid 1-0 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valladolid vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Valladolid 50%, draw 32%, Huesca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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