Levante 0-1 Cartagena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.06 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.24
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.05
X/1
14%
3.88
X/2
7%
9.35
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
12%
24.85
2/2
13%
7.58
2/X
5%
15.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levante EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Cartagena EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.39/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.52
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
18.9 Crosses 17.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levante
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Cartagena
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.08
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
290 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
25.08.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2
05.02.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-2 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
16.09.2022 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
27.07.2019 Levante Levante 0-1 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena HAZ
22.05.2010 Cartagena Cartagena 3-5 HT 2-1 Levante Levante İS2
19.12.2009 Levante Levante 1-2 HT 0-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levante
0-1
AWAY Cartagena
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
511 Passes 304
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH Levante vs Cartagena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cartagena nicked a narrow win over Levante 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Levante at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Levante had 60% of the ball to Cartagena's 40%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Levante and 1.33 for Cartagena.

What was the final score of Levante vs Cartagena?

Levante 0-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levante vs Cartagena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Levante 51%, draw 23%, Cartagena 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Levante) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levante) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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