Albacete 2-1 Eibar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.05
X/1
16%
5.2
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
15%
3.91
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
11%
4.28
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albacete EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Eibar EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.44/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
-16% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.3 Crosses 19.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albacete
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Eibar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.28 xG 1.40
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
214 Passes 413
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.11.2023 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
14.04.2023 Albacete Albacete 3-1 HT 2-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
23.10.2022 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
07.03.2009 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 1-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
04.10.2008 Eibar Eibar 1-1 HT 0-0 Albacete Albacete İS2
01.06.2008 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 0-0 Eibar Eibar İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albacete
2-1
AWAY Eibar
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
191 Passes 472
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Albacete vs Eibar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albacete edged past Eibar 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Albacete as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Albacete had 33% of the ball to Eibar's 67%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Albacete and 0.67 for Eibar.

What was the final score of Albacete vs Eibar?

Albacete 2-1 Eibar in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albacete vs Eibar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Albacete win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Albacete 41%, draw 32%, Eibar 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Albacete) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Albacete) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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