Real Oviedo 0-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
18%
3.7
X/2
7%
8.92
X/X
14%
4.21
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
7.91
2/X
7%
17.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -19%
1.60/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
355 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
26.8 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tenerife
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.75 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
237 Passes 327
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.08.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
10.03.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.11.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.01.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
28.08.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
29.05.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 2-2 HT 0-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
0-1
AWAY Tenerife
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
483 Passes 184
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife squeezed past Real Oviedo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 69% of the ball to Tenerife's 31%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.17 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Tenerife?

Real Oviedo 0-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 48%, draw 28%, Tenerife 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Oviedo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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