Livorno 2-1 Arezzo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.9pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+3.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.7pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livorno EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Arezzo EU Bookmakers 53%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.91/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.74
-13% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livorno
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Arezzo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
06.12.2006 Livorno Livorno 1-1 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTK
08.11.2006 Arezzo Arezzo 2-1 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livorno
2-1
AWAY Arezzo
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Livorno vs Arezzo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livorno squeezed past Arezzo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Livorno had 41% of the ball to Arezzo's 59%, shots finished 13-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arezzo led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livorno and 1.50 for Arezzo.

What was the final score of Livorno vs Arezzo?

Livorno 2-1 Arezzo in the Italy - Serie C on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livorno vs Arezzo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Livorno 24%, draw 24%, Arezzo 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arezzo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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