Pianese 1-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
5.13
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pianese EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 43%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.88/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.23
+69% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pianese
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gubbio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 1-0 HT 1-0 Pianese Pianese İTC
25.10.2024 Pianese Pianese 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pianese
1-0
AWAY Gubbio
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Pianese vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pianese nicked a narrow win over Gubbio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Pianese found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pianese had 53% of the ball to Gubbio's 47%, shots finished 17-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pianese and 1.00 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Pianese vs Gubbio?

Pianese 1-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pianese vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pianese 34%, draw 27%, Gubbio 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gubbio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5
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