Gubbio 1-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.54
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gubbio EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.38/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.08
+14% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gubbio
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pianese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Pianese Pianese 3-1 HT 2-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gubbio
1-0
AWAY Pianese
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gubbio vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gubbio nicked a narrow win over Pianese 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gubbio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gubbio had 45% of the ball to Pianese's 55%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Gubbio vs Pianese?

Gubbio 1-0 Pianese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gubbio vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gubbio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gubbio 41%, draw 28%, Pianese 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gubbio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gubbio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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