Athletic Carpi 2-1 Vis Pesaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
49%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
4.62
6+ Goals
7%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
49%
Away Win
48%
+0.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 52%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.99/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-7% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Carpi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vis Pesaro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 4-0 HT 2-0 Athletic Carpi Athletic Carpi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
2-1
AWAY Vis Pesaro
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Carpi edged past Vis Pesaro 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vis Pesaro at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 45% of the ball to Vis Pesaro's 55%, shots finished 8-15.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro?

Athletic Carpi 2-1 Vis Pesaro in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 26%, draw 25%, Vis Pesaro 49%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vis Pesaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
7 Mar 2025
22:30 Pescara vs Lucchese Analysis →
22:30 Gubbio vs Pianese Analysis →
22:30 Virtus Entella vs Pontedera Analysis →
22:30 SPAL vs Arezzo Analysis →