Virtus Entella 3-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
26%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-16.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
26%
Away Win
13%
+13.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.6pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +18%
1.72/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.65
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pontedera
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
30.03.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 1-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
28.11.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTCK
25.11.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
01.04.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.11.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
3-1
AWAY Pontedera
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella got the better of Pontedera 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 50% of the ball to Pontedera's 50%, shots finished 10-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.83 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Pontedera?

Virtus Entella 3-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 49%, draw 25%, Pontedera 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
7 Mar 2025
22:30 Pescara vs Lucchese Analysis →
22:30 Gubbio vs Pianese Analysis →
22:30 Athletic Carpi vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
22:30 SPAL vs Arezzo Analysis →