Pescara 4-1 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
16.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.90/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.46
+11% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Lucchese
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Lucchese Lucchese 1-3 HT 0-3 Pescara Pescara İTC
24.02.2024 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
22.10.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 1-4 HT 1-2 Pescara Pescara İTC
03.04.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
28.11.2021 Pescara Pescara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
4-1
AWAY Lucchese
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara swept aside Lucchese 4-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pescara had 58% of the ball to Lucchese's 42%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pescara had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Pescara and 0.80 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Lucchese?

Pescara 4-1 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pescara 47%, draw 28%, Lucchese 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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