Pescara 1-0 Lucchese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
8%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Lucchese EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.54/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.12
+5% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
284 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lucchese
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 1-4 HT 1-2 Pescara Pescara İTC
03.04.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
28.11.2021 Pescara Pescara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-0
AWAY Lucchese
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Lucchese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara nicked a narrow win over Lucchese 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pescara had 50% of the ball to Lucchese's 50%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pescara and 1.00 for Lucchese.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Lucchese?

Pescara 1-0 Lucchese in the Italy - Serie C on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Lucchese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pescara 45%, draw 26%, Lucchese 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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