Taranto 1-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.24
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
0.82/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.43
-33% / +133% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Catania
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
21.11.2021 Taranto Taranto 3-2 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
1-0
AWAY Catania
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Taranto vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto nicked a narrow win over Catania 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Taranto as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Taranto had 45% of the ball to Catania's 55%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Taranto and 1.50 for Catania.

What was the final score of Taranto vs Catania?

Taranto 1-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taranto win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Taranto 41%, draw 30%, Catania 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taranto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Taranto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
24 Feb 2024
18:15 Pescara vs Lucchese Analysis →
18:15 Ancona 1905 vs Rimini Analysis →
20:30 Pergolettese vs Pro Vercelli Analysis →
20:30 Recanatese vs Vis Pesaro Analysis →
20:30 Pro Sesto vs Trento AC Analysis →
20:30 Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe Analysis →