Ancona 1905 1-3 Rimini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rimini EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.65/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.06
+35% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ancona 1905
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Rimini
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Rimini Rimini 1-1 HT 0-1 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
15.04.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 3-0 HT 1-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
10.12.2022 Rimini Rimini 2-1 HT 0-0 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 İTC
05.10.2022 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 0-1 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ancona 1905
1-3
AWAY Rimini
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ancona 1905 vs Rimini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini beat Ancona 1905 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ancona 1905 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ancona 1905 had 56% of the ball to Rimini's 44%, shots finished 20-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rimini led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Ancona 1905 and 1.00 for Rimini.

What was the final score of Ancona 1905 vs Rimini?

Ancona 1905 1-3 Rimini in the Italy - Serie C on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ancona 1905 vs Rimini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ancona 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ancona 1905 43%, draw 25%, Rimini 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ancona 1905) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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