Alessandria 0-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.89
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alessandria EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
0.88/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.89
-20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alessandria
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
09.06.2021 Alessandria Alessandria 2-2 HT 0-1 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
06.06.2021 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 0-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
07.03.2021 Alessandria Alessandria 2-1 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
11.11.2020 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-0 HT 1-0 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
27.10.2019 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 4-1 HT 0-1 Alessandria Alessandria İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alessandria
0-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe squeezed past Alessandria 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had AlbinoLeffe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Alessandria had 53% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 47%, shots finished 16-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alessandria and 1.67 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe?

Alessandria 0-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alessandria vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated an AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alessandria 31%, draw 28%, AlbinoLeffe 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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