Lucchese 1-3 Pescara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.74
Over 2.5
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.94
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.97
6+ Goals
9%
18.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Pescara EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.02/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.25
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Pescara
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Pescara Pescara 1-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
22.10.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 1-4 HT 1-2 Pescara Pescara İTC
03.04.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 2-1 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTC
28.11.2021 Pescara Pescara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
1-3
AWAY Pescara
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Pescara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara got the better of Lucchese 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pescara as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lucchese had 44% of the ball to Pescara's 56%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Pescara led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Lucchese and 1.50 for Pescara.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Pescara?

Lucchese 1-3 Pescara in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Pescara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 32%, draw 27%, Pescara 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pescara), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pescara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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