Catania 0-1 US Latina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.43
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.55
6+ Goals
11%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
66%
-19.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
12%
+15.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.8pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-11.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY US Latina EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +20%
1.40/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.62
-20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
2W-1D-2L
AWAY US Latina
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.10.2023 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.12.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
19.04.2015 US Latina US Latina 1-2 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
23.11.2014 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
0-1
AWAY US Latina
58% Ball Possession 42%
1 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Catania vs US Latina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina nicked a narrow win over Catania 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Catania had 58% of the ball to US Latina's 42%, shots finished 1-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Catania and 0.80 for US Latina.

What was the final score of Catania vs US Latina?

Catania 0-1 US Latina in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs US Latina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Catania 47%, draw 26%, US Latina 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Catania) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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