US Latina 1-0 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 39% vs market 36.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.98/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.97
-10% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
265 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Catania
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Catania Catania 1-1 HT 0-1 US Latina US Latina İTC
05.12.2021 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
19.04.2015 US Latina US Latina 1-2 HT 0-1 Catania Catania İTB
23.11.2014 Catania Catania 1-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
1-0
AWAY Catania
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina squeezed past Catania 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; US Latina found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, US Latina had 38% of the ball to Catania's 62%, shots finished 14-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for US Latina and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Catania?

US Latina 1-0 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split US Latina 29%, draw 31%, Catania 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Catania) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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