Taranto 1-0 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.88
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taranto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 23%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.76/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.54
+11% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taranto
0W-1D-2L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-1 HT 0-1 Taranto Taranto İTC
04.03.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Taranto Taranto İTC
30.10.2022 Taranto Taranto 0-1 HT 0-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Taranto
1-0
AWAY SSC Giugliano
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Taranto vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taranto squeezed past SSC Giugliano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Taranto as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Taranto had 51% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 49%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SSC Giugliano led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Taranto and 1.00 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Taranto vs SSC Giugliano?

Taranto 1-0 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taranto vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taranto win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Taranto 54%, draw 24%, SSC Giugliano 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Taranto), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Taranto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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