Pergolettese vs Fiorenzuola Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pergolettese v Fiorenzuola — Team-Based Signals
Pergolettese vs Fiorenzuola Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Pergolettese
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Fiorenzuola
İTC
3-1
HT 1-1
Pergolettese
İTC
Pergolettese 1-2 Fiorenzuola — Actual Match Statistics
Fiorenzuola nicked a narrow win over Pergolettese 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Pergolettese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pergolettese had 56% of the ball to Fiorenzuola's 44%, shots finished 10-8.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fiorenzuola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Pergolettese and 1.33 for Fiorenzuola.
What was the final score of Pergolettese vs Fiorenzuola?
Pergolettese 1-2 Fiorenzuola in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pergolettese vs Fiorenzuola?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Pergolettese 42%, draw 30%, Fiorenzuola 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.