Lucchese 0-2 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
5.26
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.38/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.38
+13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 2-0 HT 1-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
04.02.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 1-1 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
09.10.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 0-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
0-2
AWAY Sassari Torres
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres got the better of Lucchese 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lucchese at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lucchese had 64% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 36%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Sassari Torres led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lucchese and 1.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Sassari Torres?

Lucchese 0-2 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 42%, draw 26%, Sassari Torres 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lucchese) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lucchese) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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