ACR Messina 2-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.94
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 5.00/1.00
-7% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ACR Messina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.10.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ACR Messina
2-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ACR Messina vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina got the better of Sorrento Calcio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day ACR Messina made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, ACR Messina had 51% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 49%, shots finished 6-3.

What was the final score of ACR Messina vs Sorrento Calcio?

ACR Messina 2-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ACR Messina vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split ACR Messina 39%, draw 31%, Sorrento Calcio 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACR Messina), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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