Carrarese 2-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Feb 2024

📅14/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.13
No
50%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.49
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
43%
+7.0pp
50%
BTTS No
57%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -5%
1.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.27
+19% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Gubbio
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
09.10.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 2-0 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
31.01.2023 Gubbio Gubbio 1-2 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
02.10.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 0-2 HT 0-1 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
27.02.2022 Carrarese Carrarese 1-0 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTC
19.10.2021 Gubbio Gubbio 4-0 HT 2-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2-0
AWAY Gubbio
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese beat Gubbio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Carrarese had 54% of the ball to Gubbio's 46%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gubbio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Carrarese and 1.80 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs Gubbio?

Carrarese 2-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 14/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 43%, draw 23%, Gubbio 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✓ Under 2.5
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