Benevento 1-0 Casertana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Casertana EU Bookmakers 16%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
2.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.56
+39% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Casertana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2024 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
17.09.2023 Casertana Casertana 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
01.11.2015 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 1-1 Benevento Benevento İTC
20.03.2015 Casertana Casertana 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
09.11.2014 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
29.10.2014 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 2-0 Benevento Benevento İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-0
AWAY Casertana
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Casertana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Casertana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Benevento had 57% of the ball to Casertana's 43%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Benevento and 0.67 for Casertana.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Casertana?

Benevento 1-0 Casertana in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Casertana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Benevento 57%, draw 25%, Casertana 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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