Perugia 0-2 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.71
Over 2.5
37%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.12
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
54%
-12.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.5pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
55%
+8.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
45%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perugia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 23%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.38/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-12% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perugia
0-2
AWAY Milan II
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Perugia vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan II got the better of Perugia 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Perugia had 50% of the ball to Milan II's 50%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Perugia vs Milan II?

Perugia 0-2 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perugia vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Perugia 42%, draw 31%, Milan II 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Perugia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perugia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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