AlbinoLeffe 0-2 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.47
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
24%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.5pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.04/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.87
-3% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.03.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
11.11.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.03.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-3 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.11.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-2 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.03.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-2 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
31.10.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 2-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
0-2
AWAY Padova Calcio
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio got the better of AlbinoLeffe 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Padova Calcio as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 44% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 56%, shots finished 8-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 1.67 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Padova Calcio?

AlbinoLeffe 0-2 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 25%, draw 27%, Padova Calcio 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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