Pontedera 1-1 Virtus Entella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.29
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.9pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 49%
-18% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +3%
1.13/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.91
+6% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +10%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Virtus Entella
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 1-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
28.11.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTCK
25.11.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
01.04.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.11.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
13.02.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-1
AWAY Virtus Entella
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Virtus Entella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera and Virtus Entella couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pontedera had 48% of the ball to Virtus Entella's 52%, shots finished 3-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pontedera and 1.17 for Virtus Entella.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Virtus Entella?

Pontedera 1-1 Virtus Entella in the Italy - Serie C on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Virtus Entella?

Before kick-off our model rated an Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 30%, draw 24%, Virtus Entella 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Virtus Entella), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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