Virtus Entella 3-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +24%
1.58/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.02
+9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Pontedera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTCK
25.11.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-1 HT 0-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
01.04.2023 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.11.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
13.02.2022 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 1-0 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
03.10.2021 Pontedera Pontedera 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
3-1
AWAY Pontedera
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella beat Pontedera 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Virtus Entella as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 58% of the ball to Pontedera's 42%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.83 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs Pontedera?

Virtus Entella 3-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 48%, draw 26%, Pontedera 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Virtus Entella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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