SS Monopoli 1-0 Sorrento Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.0pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.50/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.30
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.11.2023 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 2-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
1-0
AWAY Sorrento Calcio
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli nicked a narrow win over Sorrento Calcio 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 53% of the ball to Sorrento Calcio's 47%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?

SS Monopoli 1-0 Sorrento Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Sorrento Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 43%, draw 28%, Sorrento Calcio 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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