Olbia 1905 1-2 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.33
Draw
34%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.66
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.41
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
39%
-8.8pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olbia 1905 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.15/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olbia 1905
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sestri Levante
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
26.11.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 2-2 HT 1-0 Olbia 1905 Olbia 1905 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olbia 1905
1-2
AWAY Sestri Levante
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olbia 1905 vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestri Levante nicked a narrow win over Olbia 1905 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 34% / 36% — and on the day Sestri Levante made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olbia 1905 had 52% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 48%, shots finished 10-11.

What was the final score of Olbia 1905 vs Sestri Levante?

Olbia 1905 1-2 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olbia 1905 vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sestri Levante win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Olbia 1905 30%, draw 34%, Sestri Levante 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestri Levante) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sestri Levante) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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