Nuova Monterosi 1-1 Benevento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
52%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
7%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.77 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-2.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.4pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nuova Monterosi EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Benevento EU Bookmakers 58%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.69
-33% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nuova Monterosi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Benevento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
27.11.2023 Benevento Benevento 2-1 HT 2-0 Nuova Monterosi Nuova Monterosi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nuova Monterosi
1-1
AWAY Benevento
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nuova Monterosi vs Benevento
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nuova Monterosi and Benevento shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Benevento at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nuova Monterosi had 35% of the ball to Benevento's 65%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Nuova Monterosi vs Benevento?

Nuova Monterosi 1-1 Benevento in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nuova Monterosi vs Benevento?

Before kick-off our model rated an Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Nuova Monterosi 17%, draw 31%, Benevento 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Benevento), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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