Arezzo 0-1 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.53
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.68
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 30%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.43/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.39
+8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Juventus II
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 1-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
19.01.2020 Juventus II Juventus II 1-0 HT 0-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
18.09.2019 Arezzo Arezzo 1-2 HT 1-2 Juventus II Juventus II İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
0-1
AWAY Juventus II
55% Ball Possession 45%
21 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus II squeezed past Arezzo 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Arezzo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Arezzo had 55% of the ball to Juventus II's 45%, shots finished 21-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juventus II led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Arezzo and 1.33 for Juventus II.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Juventus II?

Arezzo 0-1 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 46%, draw 26%, Juventus II 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Arezzo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arezzo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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