Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-2 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 6 Dec 2025

Bayer Leverkusen (K)
3-2 HT 3-0
RB Leipzig (K)
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
30%
4.08
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.7
No
33%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
30%
Draw
21%
+8.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
67%
BTTS Yes
55%
+12.6pp
33%
BTTS No
45%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayer Leverkusen (K) v RB Leipzig (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K) EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.67/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.39
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
27.3 Crosses 9.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.27
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
310 Passes 396
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 8
17 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.11.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
19.04.2024 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) ALKB
19.11.2023 Bayer Leverkusen (K) Bayer Leverkusen (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 RB Leipzig (K) RB Leipzig (K) ALKB

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-2 RB Leipzig (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayer Leverkusen (K)
3-2
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
1.95 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
276 Passes 408
71% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen (K) squeezed past RB Leipzig (K) 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (67%) came in.

On the day, Bayer Leverkusen (K) had 44% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 56%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.95 to 1.25.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bayer Leverkusen (K) and 0.67 for RB Leipzig (K).

What was the final score of Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Bayer Leverkusen (K) 3-2 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayer Leverkusen (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayer Leverkusen (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bayer Leverkusen (K) 51%, draw 30%, RB Leipzig (K) 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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