Montpellier (K) 1-2 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 6 Dec 2025

Montpellier (K)
1-2 HT 1-1
FC Nantes (K)
📅06/12/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2025/2026

Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
26%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
36%
+8.8pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.2pp
26%
Away Win
41%
-15.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier (K) v FC Nantes (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.22/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.95
-7% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 83%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
12.8 Crosses 19.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5

Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.39
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
322 Passes 262
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
30 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.03.2025 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 2-2 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
15.11.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRK1

Montpellier (K) 1-2 FC Nantes (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier (K)
1-2
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.67 xG 1.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
334 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nantes (K) nicked a narrow win over Montpellier (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Montpellier (K) had 50% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 50%, shots finished 20-19, expected goals 1.67 to 1.77.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Montpellier (K) and 1.00 for FC Nantes (K).

What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Montpellier (K) 1-2 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 44%, draw 30%, FC Nantes (K) 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montpellier (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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