Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 4-3 Arnavutköy Belediye — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.26/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.65
-79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +63%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
46% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
02.02.2025 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 0-4 HT 0-3 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye T2L-K
15.09.2024 Arnavutköy Belediye Arnavutköy Belediye 3-2 HT 1-1 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu T2L-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
4-3
AWAY Arnavutköy Belediye
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Arnavutköy Belediye
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu squeezed past Arnavutköy Belediye 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Arnavutköy Belediye at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu had 58% of the ball to Arnavutköy Belediye's 42%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Arnavutköy Belediye led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu and 3.50 for Arnavutköy Belediye.

What was the final score of Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 4-3 Arnavutköy Belediye in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu vs Arnavutköy Belediye?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 32%, draw 27%, Arnavutköy Belediye 41%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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