Arnavutköy Belediye 3-2 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+10.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu EU Bookmakers 24%
-72% / -72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +66% / +66%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-29% / -60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arnavutköy Belediye
3-2
AWAY Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Arnavutköy Belediye vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arnavutköy Belediye nicked a narrow win over Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arnavutköy Belediye as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arnavutköy Belediye had 48% of the ball to Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu's 52%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Arnavutköy Belediye vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Arnavutköy Belediye 3-2 Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arnavutköy Belediye vs Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arnavutköy Belediye win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arnavutköy Belediye 45%, draw 24%, Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arnavutköy Belediye) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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