Somaspor 0-1 Bucaspor 1928 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.1pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Somaspor EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bucaspor 1928 EU Bookmakers 45%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.95
+97% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Somaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
22.10.2020 Bucaspor 1928 Bucaspor 1928 0-1 HT 0-1 Somaspor Somaspor TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Somaspor
0-1
AWAY Bucaspor 1928
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Somaspor vs Bucaspor 1928
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucaspor 1928 nicked a narrow win over Somaspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bucaspor 1928 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Somaspor had 60% of the ball to Bucaspor 1928's 40%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Somaspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Somaspor 0-1 Bucaspor 1928 in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Somaspor vs Bucaspor 1928?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bucaspor 1928 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Somaspor 37%, draw 24%, Bucaspor 1928 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bucaspor 1928), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bucaspor 1928) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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