Erbaaspor 1-3 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbaaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erbaaspor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.04.2023 Erbaaspor Erbaaspor 2-3 HT 1-1 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erbaaspor
1-3
AWAY Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erbaaspor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor saw off Erbaaspor 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Erbaaspor at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Erbaaspor had 43% of the ball to Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor's 57%, shots finished 5-10.

What was the final score of Erbaaspor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor?

Erbaaspor 1-3 Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbaaspor vs Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbaaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Erbaaspor 47%, draw 26%, Beyoğlu Yeniçarşıspor 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erbaaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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