EM Mahdia 2-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 6 Dec 2025

📅06/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
35%
3.04
Away
20%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.4pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.8pp
20%
Away Win
22%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.9pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.96/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/0.81
-33% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +66%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
246 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SA Menzel Bourguiba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
23.02.2025 SA Menzel Bourguiba 2-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
03.11.2024 EM Mahdia 2-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba TUN2
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs SA Menzel Bourguiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

EM Mahdia got the better of SA Menzel Bourguiba 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had EM Mahdia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for EM Mahdia and 1.00 for SA Menzel Bourguiba.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

EM Mahdia 2-0 SA Menzel Bourguiba in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 06/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs SA Menzel Bourguiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 45%, draw 34%, SA Menzel Bourguiba 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (EM Mahdia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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