Valencia (K) 1-6 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
6.35
Draw
33%
4.81
Away
33%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
12%
+20.8pp
33%
Draw
17%
+16.0pp
33%
Away Win
70%
-36.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
1-6
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.62 xG 3.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 14
3 Corners 8
310 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 38
7 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) cruised past Valencia (K) 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 49% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 51%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 0.62 to 3.54.

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Valencia (K) 1-6 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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