Mustafakemalpaşa Bld 2-0 Bigaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
42%
4-5
15%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mustafakemalpaşa Bld The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bigaspor The Market 24%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+38% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mustafakemalpaşa Bld vs Bigaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mustafakemalpaşa Bld got the better of Bigaspor 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mustafakemalpaşa Bld as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Mustafakemalpaşa Bld vs Bigaspor?

Mustafakemalpaşa Bld 2-0 Bigaspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mustafakemalpaşa Bld vs Bigaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mustafakemalpaşa Bld win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mustafakemalpaşa Bld 48%, draw 26%, Bigaspor 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mustafakemalpaşa Bld), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mustafakemalpaşa Bld) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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