Citizen AA 2-1 Wong Tai Sin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
76%
-18.8pp
23%
Draw
15%
+8.3pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Wong Tai Sin EU Bookmakers 12%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +24%
1.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/3.26
-52% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2023 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin 0-3 HT 0-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
06.11.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-1 HT 0-1 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
05.12.2021 Citizen AA Citizen AA 3-0 HT 2-0 Wong Tai Sin Wong Tai Sin HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Citizen AA
2-1
AWAY Wong Tai Sin
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs Wong Tai Sin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Citizen AA squeezed past Wong Tai Sin 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Citizen AA as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Citizen AA had 64% of the ball to Wong Tai Sin's 36%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Citizen AA had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Citizen AA and 0.33 for Wong Tai Sin.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Wong Tai Sin?

Citizen AA 2-1 Wong Tai Sin in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Wong Tai Sin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Citizen AA win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 57%, draw 23%, Wong Tai Sin 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Citizen AA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Citizen AA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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