Eastern District 1-2 South China — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.7pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
42%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.9pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern District EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY South China EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.57/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.77
-59% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern District
1W-1D-1L
AWAY South China
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
19.03.2023 Eastern District Eastern District 2-5 HT 1-3 South China South China HK2
08.01.2023 South China South China 2-2 HT 0-2 Eastern District Eastern District HK2
26.09.2021 Eastern District Eastern District 2-1 HT 0-0 South China South China HK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern District
1-2
AWAY South China
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastern District vs South China
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South China nicked a narrow win over Eastern District 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastern District had 46% of the ball to South China's 54%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Eastern District and 2.67 for South China.

What was the final score of Eastern District vs South China?

Eastern District 1-2 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern District vs South China?

Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eastern District 36%, draw 21%, South China 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (South China) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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