Hong Kong FC 2-1 HK U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Sapling Cup, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
42%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+0.9pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.8pp
42%
Away Win
50%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY HK U23 EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-3D-0L
AWAY HK U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 HK U23 HK U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
19.03.2023 HK U23 HK U23 1-1 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
20.11.2022 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-1 HT 1-1 HK U23 HK U23 HK1
21.11.2021 HK U23 HK U23 2-2 HT 1-2 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
2-1
AWAY HK U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs HK U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong FC squeezed past HK U23 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was HK U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 45% of the ball to HK U23's 55%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hong Kong FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hong Kong FC and 1.25 for HK U23.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs HK U23?

Hong Kong FC 2-1 HK U23 in the Hong Kong - Sapling Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs HK U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an HK U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 27%, draw 32%, HK U23 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HK U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HK U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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