North District 3-1 Lee Man — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Sapling Cup, 7 Jan 2024

📅07/01/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.0pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lee Man EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lee Man
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 11
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 North District North District 1-4 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
POST-MATCH North District vs Lee Man
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North District beat Lee Man 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day North District made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of North District vs Lee Man?

North District 3-1 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Sapling Cup on 07/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Lee Man?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split North District 38%, draw 30%, Lee Man 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (North District) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (North District) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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